A collection of historically important and hard to find academic and industry research papers relevant to yield curve analysis, fixed-income, and the capital markets.

Instructions

  • click on any paper title to access the PDF or source
  • papers are organized by source
  • click the sparkle button to discuss any paper with ChatYCP (login required)

Notes

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  • try asking ChatYCP: "What are the main findings of this paper?" or "How does this relate to term premium estimation?"
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March 10, 2026 Choi, Liu & Liu
Lifecycle Portfolio Choice

Closed-form approximation to the Merton lifecycle model that accounts for human capital, calibrated by regression across 5,103 parameter sets with a 0.06% welfare loss versus the exact numerical solution.

March 09, 2026 Diercks, Katz & Wright
Kalshi and the Rise of Prediction Markets

Validates Kalshi prediction markets as a high-frequency, distributionally rich alternative to surveys and fed funds futures for tracking macro expectations — with a perfect FOMC forecasting record since 2022.

February 10, 2026 Classic Lehman Brothers
Lehman Brothers Foreign Exchange Training Manual

This classic document covers spot transactions, forwards, swaps, and options. Designed for traders, it includes practical examples, calculations, and scenarios that illustrate how to manage positions and understand market conventions.

February 10, 2026 Classic Lehman Brothers
Lehman Brothers Repo Manual

A reference guide for sales people engaging in Repurchase Agreements, covering the repo product, ledgers, sales credit schedule, credit risk management and margin issues, booking systems and documentation.

February 10, 2026 Classic Salomon Brothers
Salomon Brothers: Understanding Duration and Volatility

Explains duration and convexity in a non-mathematical framework. Illustrates the correct use of duration for hedging, swapping, and arbitrage, and demonstrates alternative weighting tools.

February 10, 2026 Classic Salomon Brothers
Salomon Brothers: Understanding the Yield Curve

The influential 1995 series that popularized forward rate analysis, duration extension strategies, and convexity bias among institutional investors. Its clear explanation of complex fixed-income mathematics helped establish modern yield curve trading and relative value frameworks still used today.