The blog shares commentary on capital markets, interest rates, fixed-income securities, and the yield curve. Posts cover topics ranging from auction analysis to regime detection to yield curve similarity measures.

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February 09, 2024 By yieldcurve.pro
Papers We Read This Week


Three articles discussing machine learning applied to the yield curve

Tags: Credit Growth, Fnancial Crises, Fnancial Stability, LightGBM, Machine Learning, Machine Learning, Neural Networks, Probit, Random Forest, Recession, Recession Forecasting, SSRN, Shapley Values, Support Vector Machine, Tree ensemble, XGBoost, Yield Curve


January 17, 2024 By yieldcurve.pro
US Treasury Auction (Ex Post)


Evaluating the Health of Yesterday's US Treasury Auction

Tags: Auction, Bid to Coverage Ratio, Bills, Bonds, Notes, US Treasury


January 17, 2024 By yieldcurve.pro
Monthly 60/40 Equilibrium


What do current market movements in stocks and bonds have to say about 60/40 fund weights?

Tags: 60/40, Bonds, ETFs, SPY, Stocks, TLT


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