The blog shares commentary on capital markets, interest rates, fixed-income securities, and the yield curve. Posts cover topics ranging from auction analysis to regime detection to yield curve similarity measures.

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Topics Clear
Bonds 36 ETFs 27 Yield Curve 25 Stocks 20 TLT 18 SPY 17 60/40 13 Fixed Income 11 US Treasury 11 Auction 8 Bills 7 Diversification 7
More topics (48)
Notes 7 Treasury 6 Bid to Coverage Ratio 5 Gold 5 IEF 5 Bear Steepener 4 Bond Beta 4 Feature 4 Forward Rates 4 GLD 4 IEI 4 Salomon Brothers 4 SHY 4 Stock Beta 4 Term Structure 4 TLH 4 Correlation 3 Duration 3 Fixed-Income 3 GICS 3 Recession 3 Return Stacking 3 Trend Following 3 60-40 Portfolios 2 AGG 2 AI 2 Bid-to-Coverage Ratio 2 Bond Risk Premium 2 Carry 2 Convexity 2 Direct Bids 2 Federal Reserve 2 Government Bonds 2 History 2 Indirect Bids 2 Inflation 2 Interest Rate environments 2 Portfolio Construction 2 Price Tail 2 Rates 2 Regime 2 Rolldown 2 SHV 2 SSRN 2 Term Premium 2 Treasury Bonds 2 2s10s Spread 1 3m10s Spread 1
Year Clear
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Latest Popular
February 09, 2024 By yieldcurve.pro
Papers We Read This Week

Three articles discussing machine learning applied to the yield curve

Credit Growth Fnancial Crises Fnancial Stability LightGBM Machine Learning Machine Learning Neural Networks Probit Random Forest Recession Recession Forecasting SSRN Shapley Values Support Vector Machine Tree ensemble XGBoost Yield Curve
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January 16, 2024 By yieldcurve.pro
Asset Returns During Various Yield Curve Regimes

Which Asset Classes Perform Well in the Months Following a Bear Steepener?

Bear Steepener Bonds ETFs Equities GICS Yield Curve
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January 15, 2024 By yieldcurve.pro
Does The Yield Curve Follow a Cycle?

A simple study to determine if the yield curve actually follows a somewhat predictable cycle.

Bear Steepener Economic Cycle Yield Curve
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Topics Clear
Bonds 36 ETFs 27 Yield Curve 25 Stocks 20 TLT 18 SPY 17 60/40 13 Fixed Income 11 US Treasury 11 Auction 8 Bills 7 Diversification 7
More topics (48)
Notes 7 Treasury 6 Bid to Coverage Ratio 5 Gold 5 IEF 5 Bear Steepener 4 Bond Beta 4 Feature 4 Forward Rates 4 GLD 4 IEI 4 Salomon Brothers 4 SHY 4 Stock Beta 4 Term Structure 4 TLH 4 Correlation 3 Duration 3 Fixed-Income 3 GICS 3 Recession 3 Return Stacking 3 Trend Following 3 60-40 Portfolios 2 AGG 2 AI 2 Bid-to-Coverage Ratio 2 Bond Risk Premium 2 Carry 2 Convexity 2 Direct Bids 2 Federal Reserve 2 Government Bonds 2 History 2 Indirect Bids 2 Inflation 2 Interest Rate environments 2 Portfolio Construction 2 Price Tail 2 Rates 2 Regime 2 Rolldown 2 SHV 2 SSRN 2 Term Premium 2 Treasury Bonds 2 2s10s Spread 1 3m10s Spread 1
Year Clear
202616 20255 202426 202314