Bid-to-Cover Ratio

The bid-to-cover ratio is the total dollar amount of bids received at a Treasury auction divided by the dollar amount actually awarded. It is the most commonly cited single metric for auction demand.

A bid-to-cover of 2.5x means that for every $1 of Treasuries sold, $2.50 in bids were submitted. Higher ratios indicate stronger demand. The ratio varies by maturity:

  • Bills (T-bills, 4-week to 52-week) typically see ratios of 2.5x to 3.5x
  • Notes (2-year to 10-year) typically range from 2.3x to 2.8x
  • Bonds (20-year and 30-year) typically range from 2.2x to 2.6x

Context matters more than the absolute number. A bid-to-cover of 2.4x for a 10-year auction is unremarkable; the same ratio for a 2-year auction would be on the weak side. The auctions tool on this site normalizes each metric against its own historical distribution to produce letter grades from D- to A.

A declining trend in bid-to-cover ratios over successive auctions can signal waning demand and may precede yield increases. Conversely, consistently strong ratios suggest ample demand, which supports lower yields. Traders watch auction results in real time; a weak auction can trigger an immediate selloff across the curve.

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Related Terms

  • Treasury Auction — The process by which the U.S. government sells new debt securities to fund operations.
  • Yield Curve — A line plotting Treasury yields across maturities from short-term bills to long-term bonds.
  • Fed Funds Rate — The overnight lending rate set by the Federal Reserve, the primary tool of U.S. monetary policy.